Inner Law and Models for Forecasting the Results of Air Defense Battle
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.3849/aimt.01564Keywords:
air defense, grouping of surface-to-air missile forces, Markov processes, modelingAbstract
The purpose of the article was to find the inner properties and regularities of anti-aircraft missile grouping’s air defense battle, and based on these regularities to develop and evaluate the adequacy of models as tools for forecasting the results of a battle. To achieve the goal, an example of a real battle and a special model development method were used. The method made it possible to identify the main properties and the inner law of battle, to select a statistically valid mathematical modeling tool in the class of Markov processes with continuous time and discrete states, to develop the desired models with an analytical representation of the inner law of battle, to check their adequacy and to evaluate the accuracy of forecasting by models using the example of a real air defense battle.
References
ZHAO, Z.Q., J.X. HAO and L.J. LI. Study on Combat Effectiveness of Air Defense Missile Weapon System Based on Queuing Theory. In 7th International Conference on Electronics and Information Engineering. Nanjing: SPIE, 2017. DOI 10.1117/12.2266077.
RAO, D.V. and M. RAVISHANKAR. A Methodology for Optimal Deployment and Effectiveness Evaluation of Air Defense Resources Using Game Theory. Sådhanå, 2020, 45, pp. 1-15. DOI 10.1007/s12046-020-1293-8.
DING, J., Q. ZHAO, J. LI and J. XU. Temporal Constraint Modeling and Conflict Resolving Based on the Combat Process of Air and Missile Defense System. In: IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics (SMC). Bari: IEEE, 2019, pp. 2684-2689. DOI 10.1109/SMC.2019.8914484.
GAO, X., C. LU, J. TANG, L. FAN, Y. LING and Y. LI. An Evaluation Method of Object-Oriented Petri Net on Combat Effectiveness of Air Defense and Antimissile. In: 8th IEEE International Conference on Communication Software and Networks (ICCSN). Beijing: IEEE, 2016, pp. 590-596. DOI 10.1109/ICCSN.2016.7586592.
ZHONG, Z. and L. ZHANG. The Combat Application of Queuing Theory Model in Formation Ship to Air Missile Air Defense Operations. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 2020, 1570, 012083. DOI 10.1088/1742-6596/1570/1/012083.
GORODNOV, V.P. Option of Methodological and Technological Bases of Development, Evaluation and Forecast the Efficiency of Real Objects’ and Processes’ Mathematical Models. InterConf, 67, pp. 444-460. DOI 10.51582/interconf.19-20.07.2021.046.
GORODNOV, V.P. Modeling of Combat Operations of Units, Formations and Associations of the Air Defense Forces (in Russian): Kharkov: Publishing House of Military Engineering Academy of Air Defense, 1987.
GORODNOV, V.P. Higher Mathematics (in Simple Language, With Examples): a Textbook for Students of Economic Specialties of Higher Educational Establishments (in Ukrainian). 3rd ed. Kharkov: Publishing House of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine, 2013. ISBN 978-966-8558-45-0.
GORODNOV, V.P. Theoretical Bases of Modeling of Microeconomic and Other Processes and Systems (in Russian). Kharkov: Publishing House of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine, 2009. ISBN 978-966-8558-23-8.
Downloads
Published
License
Copyright (c) 2022 Advances in Military Technology
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
1. Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.
Users can use, reuse and build upon the material published in the journal for any purpose, even commercially.
