Inner Law and Models for Forecasting the Results of Air Defense Battle

Authors

  • Viacheslav Petrovich Gorodnov National Academy of the National Guard of Ukraine
  • Viacheslav Ovcharenko Kiev Institute of the National Guard of Ukraine

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3849/aimt.01564

Keywords:

air defense, grouping of surface-to-air missile forces, Markov processes, modeling

Abstract

The purpose of the article was to find the inner properties and regularities of anti-aircraft missile grouping’s air defense battle, and based on these regularities to develop and evaluate the adequacy of models as tools for forecasting the results of a battle. To achieve the goal, an example of a real battle and a special model development method were used. The method made it possible to identify the main properties and the inner law of battle, to select a statistically valid mathematical modeling tool in the class of Markov processes with continuous time and discrete states, to develop the desired models with an analytical representation of the inner law of battle, to check their adequacy and to evaluate the accuracy of forecasting by models using the example of a real air defense battle.

Author Biography

Viacheslav Petrovich Gorodnov, National Academy of the National Guard of Ukraine

National Academy of the National Guard of Ukraine, professor

References

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Published

20-09-2022

How to Cite

Gorodnov, V. P., & Ovcharenko, V. (2022). Inner Law and Models for Forecasting the Results of Air Defense Battle. Advances in Military Technology, 17(2), 246–261. https://doi.org/10.3849/aimt.01564

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Section

Research Paper

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